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Contents · 0% complete
  1. Learning objectives
  2. Core idea
  3. Key formulae
  4. Worked examples
  5. Explore the graph
  6. Common mistakes
  7. Exam tip
  8. Guided practice
  9. Practice questions
  10. Challenge
  11. Summary
  12. Quick quiz
  13. Same topic, different board
  14. Past paper questions
Game theory · Subtopic 1 of 1

Game Theory

In a two-person zero-sum game, one player's gain is the other's loss. Play-safe: row player maximises their row minimum, column player minimises their column maximum. If these match, there's a saddle point (stable solution). Otherwise use a mixed strategy, found by equating expected pay-offs or graphically.

Edexcel 9FM0 OptionAQA 7367 Paper 3≈ 50 minRevision 1 · updated 2026-10-27
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Section 1 of 14

Learning objectives

  • Find play-safe strategies and test for a stable solution.
  • Reduce a pay-off matrix using dominance.
  • Find optimal mixed strategies and the value of the game.
Pause and think

In rock–paper–scissors, what's the best strategy if your opponent is smart?

Section 2 of 14

Core idea

Start hereOut-guessing an opponent

A penalty taker chooses left or right; the goalkeeper guesses. If either becomes predictable, the other exploits it. Game theory finds the strategy that guarantees the best result against a perfectly smart opponent.

The big idea

Each player guarantees their best worst case: the row player maximises row minima, the column player minimises column maxima. If these agree there is a saddle point; if not, randomising (a mixed strategy) achieves the game's value.

1. Stable solutions

Worked exampleSaddle point

Pay-offs to A: R1(3,−1,2)R_1(3,-1,2), R2(4,1,3)R_2(4,1,3), R3(−2,0,1)R_3(-2,0,1).

Goal
Stable solution?
Strategy
Compare maximin and minimax.
  1. row minima: −1,1,−2⇒1\text{row minima: }-1,1,-2\Rightarrow1
    A's play-safe value (R2R_2).
  2. column maxima: 4,1,3⇒1\text{column maxima: }4,1,3\Rightarrow1
    B's play-safe value (C2C_2).
  3. 1=11=1
    Equal: saddle point.
AnswerA plays R2R_2, B plays C2C_2; value 11.
✓ CheckNeither player gains by switching alone ✓.

2. Mixed strategies

Equalising expected pay-offs
  1. E(C1)=4p−2(1−p)=6p−2E(C_1)=4p-2(1-p)=6p-2
    A plays R1R_1 with prob pp; game R1(4,−1)R_1(4,-1), R2(−2,3)R_2(-2,3).
  2. E(C2)=−p+3(1−p)=3−4pE(C_2)=-p+3(1-p)=3-4p
    Against B's second column.
  3. 6p−2=3−4p⇒p=126p-2=3-4p\Rightarrow p=\tfrac12
    Top of the lower envelope.
  4. V=6(12)−2=1V=6(\tfrac12)-2=1
    Value of the game.
A mixes R1R_1, R2R_2 equally and guarantees an average of 11.
Worked exampleB’s mix

Find B's optimal probability qq of playing C1C_1.

Goal
qq.
Strategy
Equate A's returns from each row.
  1. R1: 4q−(1−q)=5q−1R_1:\ 4q-(1-q)=5q-1
    A's expected pay-off from R1R_1.
  2. R2: −2q+3(1−q)=3−5qR_2:\ -2q+3(1-q)=3-5q
    From R2R_2.
  3. 5q−1=3−5q⇒q=255q-1=3-5q\Rightarrow q=\tfrac25
    Equalise.
Answerq=25q=\frac25; value 5(25)−1=15(\frac25)-1=1 ✓.
✓ CheckSame value from both players' viewpoints ✓.
Solving a zero-sum game

Simplify before solving.

Common misconceptionColumn dominance For B (who wants small pay-offs to A), a column with every entry smaller dominates.
Key takeawayZero-sum Pay-offs are to the row player; B's pay-off is the negative.
Pause and think

What's the value of rock–paper–scissors?

Summary

  • Maximin vs minimax.
  • Equal → saddle point.
  • Dominance reduces.
  • Mixed: equalise expectations.
Key words
Zero-sum game
One player's gain is the other's loss.
Saddle point
Entry that is its row minimum and column maximum.
Mixed strategy
Choosing options at random with set probabilities.
HistoryVon Neumann. John von Neumann proved the minimax theorem in 1928: every finite zero-sum game has a value if mixed strategies are allowed.
Fun factPenalty kicks. Studies of professional penalty kicks found players mix left and right almost exactly as game theory predicts.
Section 3 of 14

Key formulae

Play-saferow: max⁡(row minima);column: min⁡(column maxima)\text{row: }\max(\text{row minima});\quad\text{column: }\min(\text{column maxima})
Stablemax⁡(row min)=min⁡(col max)\max(\text{row min})=\min(\text{col max})
Mixed (2×2)p a11+(1−p)a21=p a12+(1−p)a22p\,a_{11}+(1-p)a_{21}=p\,a_{12}+(1-p)a_{22}
TrickDominance. For the row player, delete a row if another row is at least as good in every column. For the column player, delete a column if another is at most as large in every row (pay-offs are to the row player).
Section 4 of 14

Worked examples

Example 1 · Saddle point0 / 3 steps
Rows: R1(3,−1,2)R_1(3,-1,2), R2(4,1,3)R_2(4,1,3), R3(−2,0,1)R_3(-2,0,1). Find the stable solution.
    Example 2 · Mixed0 / 3 steps
    Rows R1(4,−1)R_1(4,-1), R2(−2,3)R_2(-2,3). Find A's optimal mix.
      Section 5 of 14

      Explore the graph

      Finding the optimal mix
      Loading the interactive graph…
      Try this
      1. xx is pp, the probability A plays R1R_1. Lines: A's expected pay-off against C1C_1 and C2C_2.
      2. A maximises the lower envelope: the peak at p=12p=\frac12, value 11.

      Maximise the minimum.

      In the real worldAuctions and pricing. Game theory guides spectrum auctions and pricing strategies when competitors react to each other.
      Section 6 of 14

      Common mistakes

      IncorrectColumn player maximises
      CorrectMinimises the row player's pay-off
      Zero-sum: B's gain is A's loss.
      IncorrectUsing the upper envelope
      CorrectLower envelope, highest point
      A guarantees the worse of B's replies.
      IncorrectDominance the wrong way for columns
      CorrectColumns with smaller entries dominate
      Smaller is better for B.

      Opponent predicts my move

      Mixed strategy: even I don't know it.

      Section 7 of 14

      Exam tip

      Exam tipSaddle check first. Always test for a stable solution before attempting a mixed strategy.
      Section 8 of 14

      Guided practice

      SA-DM-GT-G011 markL1 FoundationNon-calculatorSaddle points
      Pay-offs to A: R1(3,−1,2)R_1(3,-1,2), R2(4,1,3)R_2(4,1,3), R3(−2,0,1)R_3(-2,0,1). Find A's play-safe value (maximin).

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      Salam Academy Original Practice · Proposed mark scheme
      Section 9 of 14

      Practice questions

      SA-DM-GT-0012 marksL2 StandardNon-calculatorSaddle points
      For the same game, find B's play-safe value (minimax of column maxima).

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      Salam Academy Original Practice · Proposed mark scheme
      SA-DM-GT-0022 marksL3 ExamNon-calculatorMixed strategies
      Pay-offs to A: R1(4,−1)R_1(4,-1), R2(−2,3)R_2(-2,3). Find the probability pp with which A should play R1R_1.

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      Salam Academy Original Practice · Proposed mark scheme
      SA-DM-GT-0031 markL2 StandardNon-calculatorMixed strategies
      Find the value of that game to A.

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      Salam Academy Original Practice · Proposed mark scheme

      More questions on every skill in this subtopic are in the question bank under Practise.

      Section 10 of 14

      Challenge

      SA-DM-GT-0042 marksL3 ExamNon-calculatorMixed strategies
      In the same 2×22\times2 game, find the probability qq with which B should play the first column.

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      Salam Academy Original Practice · Proposed mark scheme
      Section 11 of 14

      Summary

      • Maximin vs minimax.
      • Equal: stable, saddle point.
      • Dominance reduces the matrix.
      • Mixed: equate expectations.
      Section 12 of 14

      Quick quiz

      Q1 · SA-DM-GT-Q011 markL1 FoundationNon-calculatorDominance
      Row R2(4,1,3)R_2(4,1,3) and row R1(3,−1,2)R_1(3,-1,2) (pay-offs to the row player). Which is true?
      Choose one option

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      Salam Academy Original Practice · Proposed mark scheme
      Section 13 of 14

      Same topic, different board

      Specification
      A level Further Mathematics 9FM0
      Where
      Decision 2 · Game theory
      Expected
      Two-person zero-sum games; play-safe strategies; stable solutions (saddle points); dominance; mixed strategies for 2×n and n×2 games graphically; formulation as linear programmes for 3×3.
      Calculator
      Permitted; show enough working to earn the method marks.
      Typical style
      Edexcel often opens with a routine part and builds to a "show that" or "prove" part.
      Open in
      9FM0 · Option
      Section 14 of 14

      Past paper questions

      No past paper questions are tagged to this subtopic yet. We add papers every week.

      Browse past papers

      Salam Academy original content · Content status: reviewed and published. Syllabus mapping: Pearson Edexcel 9FM0, First teaching 2017 (official specification).